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From Sean Collins and the Surfline Forecast Team : EFFECTIVE April 18 |
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Warmer Water and More Waves One of the best things about springtime on the East Coast is water temperatures begin rising rapidly. All of a sudden, those marginal waist high days you wouldn't have paddled out in during the midst of a freezing cold winter begin to look more and more appealing. So for all of you wussy, less than hardcore, "I can't surf it's too cold" dudes -- your excuses are about to run thin. Just put on your wetskirt and go surfing. If persistence means anything, April and early May will bring more consistent 2-4' surf to the East Coast with a handful of bigger days to the respective regions. Cold fronts will continue to struggle to push any further south/southeast as they enter the Carolinas and Georgia. As these fronts begin stalling out, watch for potential lows developing in the SE along the instability associated with our old front. These could produce sizeable windswells for many areas as the new low interacts with high pressure to the north. Another moderate SE windswell producer (as usual) will be areas of high pressure pushing offshore interacting with new frontal systems altogether. As we move through spring, the possibility of a blocking Bermuda or Western Atlantic High setting up is very possible. These will only provide minor S/SW windswells to much of the East Coast and small ESE swells for Florida, mostly in the 1-3' range. If short waves of low pressure move quickly through New England and/or Eastern Canada, the S/SW windswell could grow a bit, especially at south-exposed beaches near NY, RI, and Mass. History tells us there is also about a 50 percent chance a slow moving Gale could develop in the North Central Atlantic which could send small to medium sized (head high or below), longer period groundswells to several East Coast locations. The chance of an early season tropical system developing is slim to none, but we are nearing Hurricane Season, so dust off those tracking maps. - MW |
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